Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.118971 0.140993 0.165632 0.195198 0.229664 0.268527 0.315622
2025-01-12 0.082170 0.109646 0.143872 0.189441 0.248306 0.321547 0.419321
2025-01-19 0.060717 0.089152 0.127746 0.183538 0.261627 0.366454 0.517134
2025-01-26 0.049706 0.079036 0.121776 0.187871 0.286603 0.427491 0.642307
2025-02-02 0.041479 0.070753 0.116152 0.190602 0.308237 0.485110 0.768661
2025-02-09 0.034896 0.063457 0.110321 0.191340 0.325939 0.537929 0.893147
2025-02-16 0.030103 0.058053 0.106339 0.193917 0.346147 0.596084 1.031743
2025-02-23 0.026979 0.054903 0.105468 0.201252 0.374677 0.670231 1.203860
2025-03-02 0.022600 0.048550 0.097803 0.195231 0.378905 0.703637 1.310554
2025-03-09 0.019737 0.044584 0.093842 0.195239 0.393594 0.756208 1.455492
2025-03-16 0.017032 0.040413 0.088773 0.192242 0.402000 0.797978 1.584838
2025-03-23 0.015449 0.038347 0.087581 0.196686 0.425128 0.869049 1.775248
2025-03-30 0.013504 0.035154 0.083644 0.195127 0.436543 0.919998 1.934789
2025-04-06 0.011591 0.031667 0.078515 0.190277 0.440571 0.957021 2.071427
2025-04-13 0.009916 0.028415 0.073366 0.184560 0.441890 0.988518 2.200029
2025-04-20 0.009081 0.027154 0.072680 0.188967 0.465985 1.069658 2.439317
2025-04-27 0.008254 0.025742 0.071392 0.191725 0.486618 1.145446 2.674690
2025-05-04 0.007428 0.024162 0.069411 0.192470 0.502584 1.212580 2.897806
2025-05-11 0.006781 0.022966 0.068235 0.195062 0.523258 1.292249 3.156361
2025-05-18 0.006390 0.022469 0.068862 0.202438 0.556590 1.404123 3.498413
2025-05-25 0.005553 0.020380 0.064711 0.196383 0.555241 1.434809 3.655813
2025-06-01 0.005020 0.019166 0.062862 0.196392 0.569551 1.504223 3.911051
2025-06-08 0.004459 0.017725 0.060096 0.193378 0.575438 1.553622 4.122758